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13 Reasons Why the Cubs
Won't Last in '08
Wednesday, July 15th, 2008
1) Fukudome. Well, he started out good. .305/.416
in March and April, but as some predicted, he's been
going downhill since: .293/.388 in May... .264/.387 in June...
.167/.222 in July. Pitchers are adjusting faster than he is.
2) Cedeno. While a .269 average isn't outstanding, it IS for
Cedeno. He managed just .203 last year and .245 in '06. His
.340 OBP is also an out-of-body experience. It was .231
last year.
3) DeRosa. With 11 Hrs already, the Guy is on pace to hit 22 HRs. He only hit more than 11 HRs in a WHOLE season one other time when he hit 13 in '06.
4) Jim Edmonds. He has 10 Hrs already. His .232 batting average alone will tell you that his power surge won't continue for long. In fact, he only hit 12 HRs all of last season. I doubt He'll hit 20 this year as he's on pace for.
5) Blanco/Soto. Blanco is hitting .286 in a back-up role. that will drop to something closer to his career average of .225. ..and does anyone really think Soto will hit 32 Hrs this year? I'm not so sure.
6) Dempster. Right now he's 1.43 UNDER his career ERA -and that's over a good number of seasons in the bigs. He's on pace to win 20 games. He's also on pace to pitch almost 250 innings. He's never pitched more than 226.1 innings in a season in his entire career and that was way back in 2000.
7) Harden. Pitched 13 games so far (even if only 1 was for the Cubs). He hasn't managed to pitch 13 games since 2005. Will he last?
8) Zambrano. Has never won 20 games, but he's on pace to. He's on pace to pitch 240 innings. He's never pitched more than 223.1 (2005). He's also on pace to lose only 6 and he hasn't done that in 3 years. based on career numbers, he'll lose more and win fewer inthe 2nd half.
9) Lieber. His era is 3.43. He's never ended a season with an ERA even close to that over his 14 year career.
10) Lilly. On pace for 18 wins. He's never won more than 15. ...On pace for 40 starts. -Never started more than 34. - and he's only done that ONCE. ...On pace for 240 IP. -Never pitched more than 207 and only did THAT once as well.
11) Marmol. The guy is on pace to pitch 104 innings and 100 games pitched in relief. His arm will fall off if they don't slow him down.
12) Kerry Wood. He's still Kerry Wood. Besides his era being .62 points lower than his career era, he's also healthy. And we all know that never lasts. He hasn't been healthy for a full season since 2003.
13) The Cubs. That's their name, losing is their game. They ARE, afterall, dubbed 'the loveable losers' for a reason. The goat? Steve Bartman? I went up and down that Cubs roster and I'll tell ya, there isn't one guy playing below his career numbers and only a few playing AT career numbers. Something's got to give here.
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